The headlines I skim are all Ukraine & Russia. I am avoiding almost all details in the articles, and I try to avoid images & video. I am not normally empathic but this time around I am feeling the effects strongly. Nevertheless, an interim report is in order, an update.
Q: Esteemed Committee, a reader asked about Ukraine and the reply received was that bullets and bombs would not fly between Russian and Ukraina forces after the invasion and occupation. That seemed very wrong.
C: The violence is occurring now. When occupation is achieved, Ukranian forces will become part of the Russian Armed Forces.
Q: Is there a possibility Ukraine will successfully repel Russia and avoid control?
C: No. Ukraine will be controlled politically, militarily and economically by Russia much as it was when part of the Soviet Union.
Q: For how much longer will the hostility continue?
C: The military hostility is not yet decided however we can say, depending on the exercise of free will, this can be over in less than two weeks or can extend for two months. The Russian objective is to capture then control, not destroy. How slowly the Russians proceed will turn on Ukranian resistance.
Q: Does Ukranian leadership know it is a lost cause?
Q: The few headlines I have seen show a committed, strong and brave Ukranian president. He must know more Ukrainians will die if more attempt to fight back. Is he that fearful of displaying a willingness to concede?
C: Yes. If he gives in, this would slightly increase the chances he could escape and survive the Russians but this would greatly increase the danger he would face from the powers who control him.
Q: Is Russia planning to invade to capture other countries, after Ukraine is taken?
C: Yes, this planning has been done for many years now.
Q: Is the Ukraine invasion going badly for Russia, worse than was forecast or expected?
C: No, it proceeds well within the expected scope designed for the takeover.
Q: Are Russian citizens protesting the war going to make a difference?
Q: Are foreign powers, such as NATO, going to become involved in the military operations in order to repel Russia?
Q: What about weapons and ammunition, everything from rifle cartridges to fighter aircraft, will these tools & materials given to Ukraine make a difference in the war's outcome?
Q: The price of crude oil has passed about U$130 per barrel. Will it continue to climb?
C: Yes, as we said this is the first oil shock we predicted would occur.
Q: How high will the price of crude oil rise before peaking?
C: Most likely it will briefly flirt with $200 per barrel before a steady retreat begins.
Q: Are the economic effects going to be as forecast previously?