A longtime reader sets out his 2019 questions.
Q1: Daily life has been re-moulded drastically by technological advancement, and the pace of change continues to accelerate. Technological innovation driving the change to daily life in the past 4 decades can be symbolised by:
Question: which are the main drivers or technological innovation(s) that will make the biggest impact on daily life in the 2020’s? Artificial intelligence, "public revelation" of ETs, global economic recession caused by disruption to transportation, global warming?
The Committee: To each of the suggestions we shall speak, and briefly also to the devices and technologies mentioned over the previous decades, then describe what shall develop.
As you all know, the devices and technologies overlap the decades mentioned and precede them and will also follow. They build upon one another; the smart phone as humans call this device is the combination of the previous three items on the list, and from this view it can be said the smart phone is the culmination. It is not, not by many measures.
It approximates telepathy, your natural communicative condition, which is the cause of its great appeal and wide popularity.
Over the next ten years what shall develop will be the next step or phase; so far humans have integrated information technology, which has altered the human brain function. The impact on daily life will be a double edged sword; technology will become inexpensive enough for the many of you to begin using it simultaneously with voice commands, not just with typed or keyboard instructions.
Already many humans have stopped learning to write in what is called cursive, and a growing number of otherwise literate people cannot read it either. The physical grip of writing instruments, pens and pencils, has been changed as a result of solely attempting to write with printed letters. This is a regression, because cursive writing developed in order to accelerate and make written communication more efficient, not less.
Head mounted devices will become more common, where screen projection will be performed on to a lens of an eyeglass and a microphone will receive instructions. This will have an immediate trans-formative effect for users who choose the device, and an indirect effect on others who interact with the device users but choose not to employ it themselves.
Prototypes of this have already been used; the rise of use is coming. The negative aspects are the continued decline in reading, and the in-depth understanding and connections visual consumption of written information provide.
Another technology which will transform daily life in this coming decade is battery use and technology.
Increased knowledge and awareness of extraterrestrials will not, in this coming decade, rise above entertainment and thrills.
Artificial intelligence is simply a faster computer with more complex programs, and new names will come to describe the process. As speeds and results increase and improve, the stark contrast between these programs and human behaviour will become apparent. The usefulness of what today are called artificial intelligences will be seen as limiting and harmful, as much as useful and beneficial.
The first steps or phases in transportation disruptions are going to occur in this looming decade. The depth and extent of effects are still within control of humans; collective policy choices will lessen negative effects or exacerbate them. The tendency at this time is to worsen what shall come to pass. Humans will panic, because this response is generally enjoyed by both observer and s/he who panics.
There is no global warming, as we have said many a time. There are erratic weather events, but sustained gradual increases in temperatures caused by human activity are not occurring. The intensity and frequency of weather events will increase, as has been happening. These will cause local distortions, disruptions and damage and wider concern among unaffected humans. There is no human caused climate change but there certainly will be events misunderstood and misinterpreted as such.
Q2: As described by the GAG, global influence of USA is declining, and China is telling everyone that it has emerged as a super-power, second only to USA, (despite having a nominal GDP per capita 1/6 of that of USA). Russia, with an aggregate nominal GDP similar to those of Canada or South Korea, is also trying to re-claim its super power status.
Question: Will this trend continue in the 2020s, i.e. relative decline of USA and rise of China? Will there be another emerging or collapse of a global power? (Don't tell me India will rise to the occasion, I just don’t think so.) Or does it matter anymore, because with the coming global economic recession and cut-off of long distance transportation, everyone will be confined to his backyard and everything will be "local" only, like that in the 17th century?
The Committee: Only the humans among you fortunate enough to have what is called a back garden or yard will be considered able to be confined to it, but no is the answer, and we say we laugh at this humorous question.
China's influence economically has peaked; its military strength is nearly irrelevant to this end, because it cannot hope to match an economic adversary in conflict, and all potential players are aware of this, so no attempt will be made. Local noise and the appearance of skirmishes are the most which shall be seen.
There will not be a material change in the relative economic strength or status of the world's larger nations, however adjustments will occur among any group chosen. The overall trend will be decline for all involved.
Q3: China is planning a moon mission with human aboard. Question: Did China find another crashed space ship and retrieve the material for shielding against radiation from the Van Allen Belt? Or is China getting technological assistance from ET to overcome the radiation problem? (We should not presume that ET only helps out USA and not others.)
The Committee: No, China has not located a similar material. China is not getting ET assistance just as none has been given so far to any human space travel missions. Humans found and used what was lost unintentionally by ET visitors, but no assistance for human space travel was actively provided by extraterrestrial visitors. That is prohibited interference. Extraterrestrials do not take, choose or pick sides in human relations and have not provided assistance to human surface life in a very long time. This must be invited, welcomed and taken into the proper context. Humans have regressed significantly regarding acceptance of both ideas about and the actual existence and presence of extraterrestrials on and near Earth.
Q4: We have enjoyed relative peace in the past 5 decades, even though war still occurs in the Middle East. Another world war cannot happen if there is no oil for transportation, but we also remember that local and regional war occurred frequently even in medieval times. Question: will peace continue (generally) in the next decade? Or will there be massive wars on natural resources?
The Committee: Peace will continue and even increase somewhat. As a small example, you will note the recent decisions of the USA to not provoke or respond militarily to such threats and acts, and to withdraw.
Q5: Most large economies, e.g. USA, European Union, China, Brazil and India, are self-sufficient in food. But some places, eg Hong Kong, Singapore, Japan, and Middle East, rely heavily on food importation, or their people will starve. And their trade oriented economies will collapse when international trading and finance cease to exist.
Question: When long distance transportation is diminished, how will these self-insufficient states feed their people? Will they be absorbed by their larger neighbours, as in the case of Singapore and Hong Kong?
The Committee: You will observe a massive outpouring of support and generosity along with significant shifts in food production, as a result. The transportation activity which remains will be increasingly dedicated to food delivery, however population decreases will also ameliorate the situations. We suggest a look to the current circumstances in Venezuela, which will unwittingly serve as a lesson and practice exam for subsequent problems. The idea that producer profit in region or nation A prevails over scarcity and hunger in nation or region B, widely held and considered nearly automatic at the moment, will change when many places begin to suffer and it is obvious the problems are not self-generated or self-inflicted, as they are now in Venezuela.
Q6: GPS is a boon to navigation for long distance transportation. But even before GPS, there was mass long distance transportation. When communication by satellite becomes impossible, radio navigation disrupted by fluctuating ionosphere, and even compass won’t work because of the polar shift, I would think navigation is still possible, we just have to revert to sailing and flying by the "old ways", by sextant if necessary. Historically, humans have found ways to overcome problems, especially when there is high demand. It is hard to believe that humans will give up and cease long distance transportation just because GPS and satellite communication fail.
No more coffee from Colombia, cocao and vanilla beans from Africa, tea from Ceylon, iPhones and sneakers from China, bananas from Central America, wool from Australia, I can accept. It would be so sad if people cannot travel cross-country to see places and visit family or friends.
Question: How long will it take to find ways to resume international trading, long distance transportation, and travel? Confining to one's own backyard is really no fun.
The Committee: Most humans do not enjoy what you describe, so the changes will not be as globally significant as they seem to someone accustomed to products and services which require long distance air and maritime transportation. By the time newer replacement modes of transport become available, tastes, consumption and preferences will have changed significantly. Surface transport will continue, however slower and much more as it was before aircraft.
Q7: Weather - Probably as a result of global warming, El Niño seems to be the dominant weather pattern for the past two decades. Major characteristics of El Niño include: drought in West Coast (North America), relentless snow storms in East Coast (North America), drought in Australia and South China, and re-direction of tropical typhoons from Eastern China to Japan. Question: is El Nino caused by global warming, and will this weather pattern persist?
The Committee: As we have said, this sea surface temperature change and weather effects occur because of changes to sea floor temperatures, caused by fluctuations in the magnetosphere thus Earth’s core. There is no global warming, being temperature increases caused by human activity. There are fluctuations, up and down, but seventy percent of the changes reach Earth's surface under the sea, and a large percentage of Earth's land mass is likewise uninhabited thus un-monitored.
Yes, the weather patterns will persist, including the phenomena humans have named El Niño.